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在世界的角度看中國(guó)這個(gè)經(jīng)濟(jì)體

關(guān)鍵字:中國(guó)  經(jīng)濟(jì)體  美國(guó) 

【寫在前面】以下是即將卸任總編輯、擔(dān)任EETimes“首席國(guó)際特派員”新職的吉田順子(Junko Yoshida)女士近日發(fā)表的一篇部博客文章,提及EETimes將投注更多資源在中國(guó)(大中華區(qū))在地報(bào)導(dǎo)的一些新策略。EETimes的報(bào)導(dǎo)未來將會(huì)更有看頭,請(qǐng)讀者們拭目以待啰!

對(duì)于已經(jīng)躍升為全球第二大經(jīng)濟(jì)體、且持續(xù)快速成長(zhǎng)的中國(guó),無論是商業(yè)世界或是全球媒體,都不得不伏首稱臣;不過中國(guó)也很容易被用以制造危言聳聽,無論是其廉價(jià)勞工、仿冒產(chǎn)品、政治體系、稅收制度、官方主導(dǎo)五年計(jì)劃….等等,對(duì)美國(guó)人來說都是深具文化與社會(huì)隔閡的遙遠(yuǎn)外國(guó)話題。

今日的中國(guó)已經(jīng)是美國(guó)政府公債的最大海外買主,這雖是事實(shí),但美國(guó)總統(tǒng)大選在即,這個(gè)議題很難不被政治人物利用,引發(fā)美國(guó)民眾認(rèn)為中國(guó)若是來討債、可能會(huì)使美國(guó)一蹶不振的恐懼心理,并將美國(guó)的高失業(yè)率歸咎于中國(guó)。顯然美國(guó)人對(duì)中國(guó)都有一種“精神分裂”式的看法,會(huì)依據(jù)目前輿論熱門話題的走向,切換中國(guó)是 “好”或“壞”的兩個(gè)極端形象;但因?yàn)楹芏嗍虑楸澈蟮膹?fù)雜性,很多真相其實(shí)是未被揭露的。

在筆者與產(chǎn)業(yè)界人士的談話過程中,總是會(huì)被他們豐富的見識(shí)與深刻的全球性觀點(diǎn)所震懾;而如同EETimes讀者們所看到的,在過去的一年半以來,有關(guān)中國(guó)的議題多次出現(xiàn),以下是一些我們報(bào)導(dǎo)過的重點(diǎn)摘要:

1. 對(duì)中國(guó)是科技產(chǎn)品“制造商”的描述,雖然仍然沒錯(cuò),但已經(jīng)快要過時(shí)了;中國(guó)已經(jīng)快速轉(zhuǎn)向成為技術(shù)的“設(shè)計(jì)者”。

2. 據(jù)說中國(guó)目前有超過500家無晶圓廠設(shè)計(jì)業(yè)者,也許數(shù)字有點(diǎn)灌水,卻是一個(gè)很明顯的趨勢(shì);排名前二十大的中國(guó)無晶圓廠設(shè)計(jì)業(yè)者,在IP核心、設(shè)計(jì)能力以及對(duì)先進(jìn)制程的使用能力上,早已與美國(guó)硅谷的同業(yè)者們不相上下。

3. 自2008年底的全球金融風(fēng)暴以來,北京政府已經(jīng)取代美國(guó)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)投資業(yè)者,成為世界最大金主;中國(guó)官方給予其國(guó)內(nèi)無晶圓廠設(shè)計(jì)業(yè)者的龐大支持是空前的,包括各種資金補(bǔ)貼以及扶植政策。

4. 別再形容中國(guó)是個(gè)獨(dú) 裁國(guó)家,該國(guó)是由不同種族背景的人民所組成──就像過去的蘇聯(lián);不過中國(guó)不同城鄉(xiāng)之間的差距很大。

5. 許多西方世界的半導(dǎo)體業(yè)者都已經(jīng)進(jìn)入中國(guó)深耕當(dāng)?shù)厥袌?chǎng),包括建立設(shè)計(jì)據(jù)點(diǎn);如同恩智浦半導(dǎo)體(NXP)CEO所言,該公司“實(shí)際上是一家中國(guó)公司”。

6. 成功半導(dǎo)體廠商像是臺(tái)灣芯片設(shè)計(jì)業(yè)者聯(lián)發(fā)科(MediaTek),已經(jīng)開始有效利用中國(guó)的大量軟件工程師人才,以助力其手機(jī)芯片業(yè)務(wù)。而因?yàn)榫邆渑c中國(guó)在地理、語(yǔ)言與文化上的接近性,使得臺(tái)灣在中國(guó)市場(chǎng)扮演要角。

7. 不過在中國(guó)設(shè)置設(shè)計(jì)團(tuán)隊(duì)并不能保證一定會(huì)成功;例如博通(Broadcom)與Trident在當(dāng)?shù)囟加蠨TV SoC設(shè)計(jì)團(tuán)隊(duì),但成績(jī)似乎一直都不如聯(lián)發(fā)科與晨星(MStar)。

8. 大多數(shù)中國(guó)廠商還是以國(guó)內(nèi)市場(chǎng)為主要焦點(diǎn),但也有越來越多開始涉足全球市場(chǎng);有位來自中國(guó)的業(yè)界朋友最近說:”在中國(guó),全球化并非一個(gè)趨勢(shì),而是本地廠商的業(yè)務(wù)策略。”

9. 中國(guó)目前無疑仍是一個(gè)中央集權(quán)的國(guó)家,但也別忽視中國(guó)各地方政府的力量;中國(guó)不同省份通常有自己的產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展計(jì)劃(以及偏好的技術(shù)類別)與專責(zé)機(jī)構(gòu)。

10. 最后,中國(guó)逐漸崛起的中產(chǎn)階級(jí)影響力是不容小覷的;根據(jù)一項(xiàng)2011年的消費(fèi)性電子使用情況與支出調(diào)查,與巴西、印度、俄羅斯、法國(guó)、德國(guó)、日本與美國(guó)相較,中國(guó)的消費(fèi)者是 3D電視、智能手機(jī)等最新式消費(fèi)性電子產(chǎn)品的最積極買家。

以上有關(guān)中國(guó)的摘要是隨機(jī)列出,并沒有重要性的分別;而筆者今年的重點(diǎn)工作,就是去挖掘中國(guó)市場(chǎng)的現(xiàn)況,探詢目前在中國(guó)市場(chǎng)的本土與西方廠商在技術(shù)與業(yè)務(wù)發(fā)展上的看法,以及與中國(guó)當(dāng)?shù)氐墓こ處熒缛好鎸?duì)面接觸,了解他們對(duì)中國(guó)與全球市場(chǎng)的觀點(diǎn)。而筆者也要在此宣布自己的新職務(wù)──EETimes首席國(guó)際特派員 (Chief International Correspondent),未來會(huì)特別著重中國(guó)市場(chǎng)的一手報(bào)導(dǎo)。

隨著科技產(chǎn)業(yè)重心移往中國(guó),EETimes美國(guó)版也將積極跟著趨勢(shì)前進(jìn);筆者不會(huì)馬上就搬到中國(guó),但會(huì)定期親自前往該地到處看看,并與當(dāng)?shù)氐漠a(chǎn)業(yè)界人士交流。對(duì)于曾經(jīng)隨著家人外派而移居?xùn)|京、美國(guó)硅谷、巴黎與紐約等地的筆者來說,這樣一個(gè)新任務(wù)正是我所夢(mèng)寐以求、躍躍欲試的…如果你也是時(shí)常在中國(guó)、美國(guó)與歐洲等地來去的產(chǎn)業(yè)界朋友,歡迎一起交流心得!

Why China?

Junko Yoshida

 

NEW YORK – We all pay abject lip service to China. The business community and the media are equally in thrall to the world’s second largest – and fastest growing economy.

 

But China’s also a handy device for fear mongering.

 

Cheap labor, fake chips, counterfeit DVDs, the Communist Party, reeducation, all those central government-led 5-year plans…China strikes us foreign and distant, culturally and socially speaking.

 

Further, China today is the largest foreign buyer of US government debt. That’s a fact, but in an election year, it’s a fact that fuels fear of China calling in our debt and bringing America to its knees. That catastrophe is unlikely, but it doesn’t forestall politicians – and much of the U.S. public – from blaming China for every lost job in America.

 

It’s clear that we have a schizophrenic perception of China. We conveniently switch back and forth between two images of China, as we see fit, depending on the hot topic at the moment. Between the two polar views of China, however, many stories – with layers of complexity – remain untold.

 

As I talk to people in our industry, I am constantly amazed how much they know and how insightful their global views are. In our interviews and reporting at EE Times and EE Times Confidential over the last 18 months, China inevitably came up again and again. Here are just some sample of threads on China we’ve picked up.

 

1. Portraying China just as a “manufacturer” of technology products, while still true, is passé. China is rapidly rising as a “designer” of technology.

 

2. Some say there are more than 500 fabless chip companies in China. While that’s an inflated number, there is an unmistakable trend. The top 20 China fabless companies are now on equal footing – in terms of IP cores, design skills and access to advanced process technology – with any fabless company in Silicon Valley. (Find the names of more than 80 Chinese fabless comanies here. )

 

3. Since the global financial crisis in late 2008, Beijing bureaucrats have replaced U.S. venture capitalists as the major funding source. The Chinese government has given its fabless companies unprecedented access to capital, including subsidies, grants and other incentives.

 

4. Never paint China as a monolithic country. The country consists of people with diverse ethnic backgrounds – just like the Soviet Union once was. The inequality of different regions – between big cities and villages in the country side – is unimaginably huge. Like warlords in Afghanistan, some provincial governors are powers unto themselves.

 

5. Many leading chip companies in the West already have established a strong presence in China with their design teams in tow. As NXP CEO Rick Clemmer said, NXP today is “practically a Chinese company.”

 

6. Successful companies like MediaTek in Taiwan have effectively mined the vast amount of software engineers in China to bolster their mobile chip business. Taiwan’s proximity to China – in geography, language and culture – is definitely playing a role here.

 

7. Installing a design team in China, however, is no guarantee of success. Both Broadcom and Trident famously had their DTV SoC design teams in China. Neither came up with a successful product, while MediaTek and MStar ate their lunch.

 

8. Most Chinese companies remain focused on the domestic market. But they look increasingly to the global market. As a colleague in China recently said, “Globalization is not a ‘trend’ in China. It’s a ‘business strategy’ for Chinese companies.”

 

9. There’s no question that China remains under strong control by the central government. But never underestimate the power of municipal and local agencies in China. They often have their own agendas (even their own technology preferences) to expand the economy within their own regions.

 

10. Last but not least, let’s not forget the growing affluence of the middle class in China. According to a 2011 Accenture survey focused on usage and spending on consumer electronics technologies in eight countries (Brazil, China, India, Russia, France, Germany, Japan and the United States), Chinese consumers were among the most enthusiastic purchasers and users of the latest consumer technologies including 3-D TVs and smart phones.

 

I listed above items in a random order, jotting notes as thoughts popped into my head. In short, I’ve probably left out a lot.

 

My goal this year is to be less random and get a better grip on things and fill in the left-out stuff . For example: what’s happening in China (broadly); what technology and business concerns confront both Chinese companies and Western companies in China today; what does the engineering community in China look like; what are Chinese engineers looking for in the domestic and global markets, etc. I’m happy to report that as of Wednesday (May 9th), my new role at EE Times is Chief International Correspondent – with a strong emphasis in China.

 

As the industry-base has moved to China, EE Times will be moving, too -- aggressively.

 

I won’t be actually moving to China right away. But until I do so, I’ll be in and out of China regularly, poking around, ruffling (I hope) a few feathers. Whether you happen to be in Beijing, in New York, in Tokyo or in Paris over the next few months, drop me a note at junko.yoshida@ubm.com. Let’s synchronize our watch and meet up.

 

As I step down from being EE Times’ editor-in-chief, I’ll report to Alex Wolfe – EE Times’ new brand director. Anyone with an institutional memory should recognize his name. Alex is the newshound who broke the Pentium FPU bug story at EE Times in 1994. He returns to EE Times with a wealth of ideas and multimedia skill set. In the 1990’s, I remember Alex as the toughest news editor in this industry. He’s been known to gut a cub reporter with nothing sharper than a blue pencil. I’m looking forward to the challenge again.

 

I also want to thank Karen Field, senior vice president of content at UBM Electronics, who played an instrumental role in taking the first brave step toward making the China assignment possible.

 

For someone like me who has moved dwellings (and husband) and pursued reporting assignments from Tokyo, Cupertino and San Mateo to Paris and New York, the new position is a dream come true. It’s a job I had long lobbied for and a role I plan to relish.

 

 

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